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lesson_18 [2020/02/18 00:30] argemiro |
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| ==== Seventh step: Validating simulation using multiple windows and constant decay function ==== | ==== Seventh step: Validating simulation using multiple windows and constant decay function ==== | ||
| - | Open the model ''determine-muti-window-similarity-of-differences_complete.egoml'' in folder ''\7_validate_using_multiple_windows_constant_decay_function''. | + | Open the model ''determine-muti-window-similarity-of-differences_complete.egoml'' in folder ''\Guidebook_Dinamica_5\Models\LUCC_model\7_validate_using_multiple_windows_constant_decay_function''. |
| {{ :tutorial:lucc_40.jpg |}} | {{ :tutorial:lucc_40.jpg |}} | ||
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| [{{ :tutorial:lucc_57.jpg |Fig.7 Transition probabilities transformed to simulate expansion process.}}] | [{{ :tutorial:lucc_57.jpg |Fig.7 Transition probabilities transformed to simulate expansion process.}}] | ||
| - | Now, open the model ''simulate_deforestation_from_1997_2000_with_patch_formation_and_expansion.egoml'' in the folder ''Examples\setup_run_and_validate _a_lucc_model\9_run_lucc_with_patch_formation_and_expansion''. | + | Now, open the model ''simulate_deforestation_from_1997_2000_with_patch_formation_and_expansion.egoml'' in the folder ''\Guidebook_Dinamica_5\Models\LUCC_model\9_run_lucc_with_patch_formation_and_expansion''. |
| {{ :tutorial:lucc_60.1.jpg |}} | {{ :tutorial:lucc_60.1.jpg |}} | ||
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| Thus, as the current example, we can apply the simulation model to assess the impacts of future trajectories of deforestation under various socioeconomic and public policies scenarios, on the emission of greenhouse gases [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature04389|(Soares-Filho et al., 2006)]], regional climate change [[ftp://cola.gmu.edu/pub/ctr/ctr_226.pdf|(Schneider et al., 2006]]; [[http://se-server.ethz.ch/staff/af/fi159/S/Sa123.pdf|Sampaio et al, 2007)]], fluvial regime [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00267-1|(Costa et al, 2003]][[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.02.043|,Coe et al, 2009)]], habitat loss and fragmentation[[http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature04389|(Soares-Filho et al., 2006,]] [[ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2008.10.011|Texeira et al., 2009)]] as well as the loss of the forest environmental services and economic goods [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(96)00066-3|(Fearnside, 1997)]]. | Thus, as the current example, we can apply the simulation model to assess the impacts of future trajectories of deforestation under various socioeconomic and public policies scenarios, on the emission of greenhouse gases [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature04389|(Soares-Filho et al., 2006)]], regional climate change [[ftp://cola.gmu.edu/pub/ctr/ctr_226.pdf|(Schneider et al., 2006]]; [[http://se-server.ethz.ch/staff/af/fi159/S/Sa123.pdf|Sampaio et al, 2007)]], fluvial regime [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00267-1|(Costa et al, 2003]][[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.02.043|,Coe et al, 2009)]], habitat loss and fragmentation[[http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature04389|(Soares-Filho et al., 2006,]] [[ http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2008.10.011|Texeira et al., 2009)]] as well as the loss of the forest environmental services and economic goods [[http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(96)00066-3|(Fearnside, 1997)]]. | ||
| - | Open the model simulate_deforestation_from_1997_2000_30years_ahead.xml available in ''Examples\setup_run_and_validate_a_lucc_model\10_run_deforestation_trajectories''. | + | Open the model simulate_deforestation_from_1997_2000_30years_ahead.xml available in ''\Guidebook_Dinamica_5\Models\LUCC_model\10_run_deforestation_trajectories''. |
| {{ :tutorial:lucc_68.jpg |}} | {{ :tutorial:lucc_68.jpg |}} | ||